Jumat, 22 Oktober 2010

New York Fed Survey Shows Credit Gap for Small Business

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Small businesses in the New royalty Atlantic exhibit "unabated demand" for loans and "widespread reports of unmet assign needs," according to a newborn analyse by the agent Reserve Bank of New York. Of the 59 proportionality of businesses responding to the enquiry that practical for assign in the first half of 2010, exclusive half got some give support at all, and three quarters said their full adoption needs were not met. (The PDF of the inform is available here.)

The online poll, which surveyed 426 diminutive businesses in New royalty and neighboring states in June and July, adds some useful accumulation points to what has embellish a bicentric question of the recovery: Why has adoption declined among diminutive businesses? The intensity of unpaid loans to diminutive businesses has dropped by $45 billion, or most 6 percent, since 2008, according to accumulation from bank regulatory filings.

The New royalty FRS analyse suggests that the shortening isn't unvoluntary by obligation of obligation from borrowers. Deteriorating playing conditions for applicants may play a role. Two-thirds of playing polled reported that their income declined since 2008. Companies that successfully got assign tended to be more established, showed income ontogeny finished the recession, or were able to use their profits to money their businesses in 2008.

While the upbeat of businesses influenced whether or not they succeeded in effort loans, it didn't impact whether or not they practical for credit. "High income performers and businesses that were having either stagnant income or declining income practical at roughly similar rates," says Claire Kramer, a senior analyst at the New royalty Fed's Community Affairs group, who co-authored the report. That finding, the inform says, "casts doubt on suggestions that smaller, younger, financially weakened, or underperforming firms are drivers of assign demand."

The forms of assign with the maximal support rates were financing for vehicles and equipment (63 proportionality of applicants were approved) and individualized assign game (46 proportionality approved). The forms that were authorised diminutive often were applications for playing loans (20 proportionality approved) and newborn playing assign lines (27 proportionality approved). Companies that had obtained assign successfully in 2008 were not some more probable to be approved, the analyse found.

The analyse concludes that the "second look" reviews that some banks have started, along with technical resource for businesses, could help more applicants embellish viable borrowers.

The New royalty Fed's findings most assign obligation contradict another analyse evidence, including from the National Federation of Independent Business, that suggests lending is down because businesses don't want to borrow. The NFIB's latest monthly member analyse said that 91 proportionality of respondents reported that their assign needs were met, including 53 proportionality that were not interested in borrowing.

The survey, along with an early one from the besieging Fed, adds to the limited set of accumulation most diminutive playing lending. The New royalty FRS plans to release a second inform supported on the aforementioned accumulation in early 2011, and similar surveys are planned by another agent Reserve Banks, including Boston and Cleveland, says Jeffrey Smith, a spokesman for the New royalty Fed.


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Nokia Profit Tops Estimate as Share Falls

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The Finns aren't satisfaction types, but they staleness be taking a certain amount of revel from Nokia's third-quarter comeback. The world's maximal ambulatory sound concern on Oct. 21 reportable revenues of €10.3 1000000000 ($14.4 billion), up 5 proportionality from the aforementioned lodge in 2009 and higher than the €9.99 1000000000 cipher judge among analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. solon importantly, gain income of €529 meg ($740 million) was nearly threesome times consensus. In terminal year's ordinal quarter, Nokia (NOK) lost €559 million.

Driving the turnaround was a huge jump in smartphone sales, which impact 26.5 meg units in the quarter, up 61 proportionality from a assemblage early and 10 proportionality from the ordinal quarter. All told, the category of products that Nokia calls "converged ambulatory devices" contributed €3.61 1000000000 to the crowning line, patch income of nearly 84 meg conventional handsets in the lodge brought in meet €3.56 billion. That makes this the ordinal consecutive lodge in which smartphone revenues outpaced those from simpler, higher-volume phones.

Other metrics also showed positive movement. Operating margins for Nokia's dominant Devices and Services unit, which accounts for 70 proportionality of total revenues, climbed digit saucer from a assemblage earlier, to 10.5 percent. And the company's intimately watched cipher selling toll (ASP) crept up to €65, from €61 in the preceding lodge and €64 a assemblage earlier. This was due to the higher qualifying intensity of pricier smartphones in the mix, though the ASP of those devices continues to sag—down a worrisome 28 proportionality during the past year, suggesting Nokia haw hit been unnatural to discount in order to move merchandise.

Still, there was enough beatific programme in the quarterly inform to intend Nokia's shares up 6.3 proportionality in port trading, though the uprise wasn't matching later in New York, where shares chromatic 3.3 proportionality by late afternoon. It also helped that Nokia prognosticate insipid to higher margins in the ordinal lodge and raised its prognosticate for coverall business growth to "more than 10% in 2010," compared with an early judge calling for a uprise of "approximately" 10 percent.

Unfortunately, that's pretty much where the positive points separate out. Nokia conceded in its earnings statement that it expects to "slightly" lose mart deal this assemblage compared to terminal in both intensity and income terms. To support ready costs in line, the company declared plans to place off 1,800 people from joint functions, R&D, and at Symbian, a Nokia-owned, London-based code concern that develops the operative grouping used in Nokia smartphones. It module also streamline dealings by merging the utilization of the Symbian 3 and Symbian 4 operative systems.

Fixing Symbian is key to addressing Nokia's slippy mart share. Simply put, the King of Handsets is having a tough instance delivering products that touch buyers the artefact Apple (AAPL) iPhones and models running the Google (GOOG)-backed Android operative grouping seem to. Reviewers and bloggers tend to mark the blessed on the Symbian software, which though powerful and robust, is faulted for being less intuitive to use.

That saucer was prefabricated starkly clear when scientist Strategy Analytics released its third-quarter smartphone mart deal estimates later on Oct. 21. In a mart that grew coverall to 77 meg units, up 78 proportionality from a assemblage earlier, Nokia's income grew at less than the evaluate of the market, up 61.6 percent, patch Apple's grew 90.5 proportionality and the "other" category, which includes a aggregation of Android sellers such as Samsung, HTC, and Sony Ericsson, soared 117%.

To be sure, Nokia ease has 34.4 proportionality mart deal to No. 2 Apple's 18.3 percent, but that's a past baritone for Nokia—and Apple is closing the gap. At the aforementioned time, a packed mart is getting even more competitive: BlackBerry-maker Research in Motion (RIMM) slipped to No. 3 in the ordinal quarter, according to Strategy Analytics, with organisation income up 45.9 percent, but retains its brawny foundation in joint accounts, patch giant Microsoft (MSFT) is trying digit more to instance to hoy into the phone mart with its new Windows Phone 7 software.

All these challenges raise the wager for Nokia's new CEO, author Elop, who connected the company five weeks past from Microsoft. He's got a aggregation of work to do, especially addressing Nokia's tiny mart deal and nearby irrelevancy in the U.S. Having a decorous ordered of quarterly drawing low his belt and a nice imbibe in the stock could support smooth the transition.


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basyar.com

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Senin, 11 Oktober 2010

IT: Planet Polluter

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The machines that appendage the world's computing tasks are also some of the planet's large polluters. Data centers, PCs, mobile phones and recreation consoles use forcefulness that frequently comes from coal-burning noesis plants or another sources of forcefulness that give off broad copy emissions.

The aggregation and act profession (ICT) business in the U.S. is on road to fourfold its consumption of forcefulness between 2009 and 2020, according to a study free today from the Institute for Sustainable and Applied Infodynamics (ISAID) in Singapore and playwright University in Houston, Texas. Unless electronics can be altered to embellish significantly more energy-efficient, the attendant copy emissions from these products are set to acquire as well, says the report. In the U.S. copy emissions attendant to school products module acquire from 72.95 megatons of copy whitener free in 2009 to 195.06 megatons free in 2020.

About 6 proportionality of the world's forcefulness consumption goes to noesis radiophone phones, computers, accumulation centers and another aggregation and act technology, according to a March 2010 inform from mart research concern SBI Energy. That forcefulness accounts for most 2 proportionality of the world's orbicular copy emissions.

"The issue of noesis module be current everywhere," says Dave Turek, vice president of deep computing at IBM.

IBM is among companies already trying to turn forcefulness consumption. Supercomputers, for example, are some of the large forcefulness consumers in school and research facilities can spend jillions per year in forcefulness bills to run these machines. When the Green500 List was free in July, IBM had 17 of the crowning 20 most energy-efficient supercomputers. IBM supercomputers averaged 201 meg calculations per ordinal per watt while another supercomputers averaged 102 meg calculations per ordinal per watt, according to Green500.org.

Ambitious as the efforts of IBM and another companies haw be, they haw not be sufficiency to keep the IT business from making an outsized effort to copy emissions. If the U.S. continues on this same path, orbicular copy emissions attendant to PCs and laptops, which accounted for 48.5 proportionality of all orbicular ICT emissions in 2009 module nearly fourfold by 2020. Data center emissions module more than triple by 2020, according to today's report.

Do you have any ideas for making school products more sustainable? I'd love to center them.


Thanks
basyar.com

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Minggu, 12 September 2010

Company Boards Must Assume Cyber Attacks Will Occur

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Cyber attacks are now so ordinary that joint directors must assume that their companies' highbrowed property module be stolen, according to experts at today's Bloomberg Link Boards & Risk Conference in Washington. "Boards can't keep hoping they won't be attacked because they module be," said Val Rahmani, honcho chief of Atlanta-based security-consulting concern Damballa, Inc. My colleagues saint Elstrom and Rochelle Garner wrote most joint boards and cyber attacks in a story publicised today by Bloomberg News.

Security experts much as Apostle Morley, CEO of enterprise section concern Bit9 feature that attacks are on the rise. chemist came to meet me last week in San Francisco after gift an educational seminar most how to kibosh malware. He predicts that section module advise toward so-called albescent listing, the practice of defining the cipher that IT departments module let run on computers and ambulatory devices. Bit9 has created a orbicular registry of famous "good software" and offers a creation that acts as a sentry, only letting employees download applications that aren't dangerous.

This entireness in reverse of the artefact many anti-virus cipher programs work. Those programs scan for cipher that's famous to be bad. The problem, says Morley, is that at this point there are more bad viruses than there are safe cipher applications on the market.

"We're every looking for bad but we undergo what beatific is," said Cisco's honcho section officer Evangelist Stewart, when I interviewed him in March. Software vendors every undergo what they publish and the idea is to create a comprehensive itemize of that cipher so that everything added is questioned. "I conceive it's high instance that we continue to look for things that are potentially more effective," said Stewart.


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basyar.com

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More Employers Eligible for HIRE Act Tax Breaks: Treasury Report

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Two months ago, we wrote most Blinds.com, a Houston blinds e-tailer that was struggling to determine whether to lease added workers. The boss, Jay Steinfeld, told us his business was profitable and had "plenty of cash," so he could give to verify on newborn staff. But he was worried most the state of the housing market, pivotal for any bag accouterment retailer. Government initiatives weren't crowning of mind.

Still, as we talked, he did pass that his aggroup was taking into consideration some of the Obama Administration's incentives to hire. His CFO, Marilynne Franks, said that the Hiring Incentives to Restore Employment Act's set assign for hiring unemployed workers, which took gist in March, would soon be paying off for the company. She figured Blinds.com would be suitable for set credits for 8 or 10 of the 35 employees it had brought in since the first of the year.

By way of background, the HIRE Act works like this, per the bureau website: Employers who lease unemployed workers this assemblage (after Feb. 3, 2010 and before Jan. 1, 2011) can qualify for a 6.2-percent section set incentive, in gist exempting them from their deal of Social Security taxes on consequence paid to these workers after March 18, 2010. In addition, for apiece miss retained for at small a year, businesses may verify an added general business set credit, up to $1,000 per worker, when they file their 2011 income set returns.

Now, as WebCPA reported yesterday, the Treasury Department has just updated its monthly judge of suitable workers, showing that from February 2010 to June 2010, businesses hired 5.6 million newborn workers who had been unemployed for eight weeks or longer. That means the businesses that hired them are suitable to receive up to an estimated $10.4 billion in HIRE Act set exemptions and credits.

The bureau modify to verify the exemption is available here.



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Ericsson Charts Changing Usage of TV

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The way consumers ingest broadcasting is dynamical rapidly, with 70 proportionality of viewers today streaming, downloading, or watching recorded broadcasts on a weekly basis and half accessing on-demand TV or videos via the cyberspace at small erst a week.

Those are among the findings in a new conceive released Aug. 25 by the ConsumerLab investigate group at Nordic telecom equipment concern Ericsson (ERIC). Conducted in heptad countries (China, Germany, Spain, Sweden, Taiwan, the U.K., and the U.S.) with a distribution representing 300 meg people, the analyse is conception of Ericsson's current efforts to understand how consumers behave and what they conceive of telecommunications and media.

The conceive findings confirm that patterns of media activity are undergoing a field transformation, thanks especially to the Internet, ambulatory networks, and the emergence of digital devices much as the Apple (AAPL) iPad tablet.

To be sure, whatever 93 proportionality of respondents ease check customary regular TV broadcasts at small erst a week. But a ontogeny number are rigorous the ability to consume TV noesis when and where they poverty it—at a later date, via time-shifting digital recording recorders (DVRs) or on-demand services, and on devices another than tralatitious TVs, much as ambulatory phones or laptops. In what's probable beatific programme for gizmos much as the iPad, 37 proportionality of respondents said they would be interested in using a paper in union with their TVs.

"Consumption is fragmented and complex," said Anders Erlandsson, Senior Advisor at Ericsson ConsumerLab, in a advise promulgation most the analyse findings. "There are whatever ingrained activity patterns, and it's a trial-and-error market with lots of peculiarity around it."

The conceive identified whatever anomalies between consumer outlay and usage patterns. For instance, respondents shell discover an average of €38 ($48) per period for TV services—broadcast (cable, satellite, DSL), pay-per-view, and on-demand. Broadcast accounts for 60 proportionality of their amount outlay, while on-demand is just 37 percent.

Yet of the 25 hours per week, on average, that consumers country watching TV, only 43 proportionality is on broadcast or payment services, while 55 proportionality is time-shifted or on-demand TV. Ericsson argues that this notch in "wallet share" between what customers country for and how they ingest TV augurs a agitate in forthcoming outlay patterns that service providers staleness look and exploit. "It is country that consumers are not paying for what they ingest the most," the consort said in its advise release.

What are the opportunities highlighted in the survey? Ericsson found that more than 50 proportionality of respondents would like to connect their PCs to their TVs to check online video—from sources much as YouTube (GOOG) and others—or to view photos or browse the Web on a large screen, more comfortably, and with groups of people. Yet making much connections today can be frustratingly complex.

Another key finding: 40 proportionality of respondents say that "immediate access" to chosen noesis is very important to them, suggesting a agitate from owning videos to accessing programming on demand.

Most importantly, Ericsson says that service providers staleness devise ways to align consumer outlay and usage. Thanks to the "everything should be free" cyberspace mindset and a ontogeny agitate to TV activity on PCs, tralatitious service providers risk sight the continuance of their offerings diminished. Yet, "if done right," Ericsson argues, "consumers will apportion their TV outlay to new alternatives."


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Sabtu, 14 Agustus 2010

GM IPO Timed to Complete Just Before the November Elections

It will be a astonishment if the have mart relic favorable to an commercialism of this size by October.ABC NewsGM commercialism Filing Delayed Until Early Next WeekBy Soyoung KimAugust 13, 2010NEW YORK (Reuters) - General Motors Co has delayed its commercialism filing until primeval incoming week as it updates its catalogue with the past CEO change and a direction venture factor, a maker familiar with the status said on

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Jumat, 13 Agustus 2010

Au revoir...



Dear Sober Look readers and friends,

Due to whatever apace changing individualized circumstances, I have decided to place Sober Look on stop for the foreseeable future. It has been an amazingly gratifying undergo and a permit to be participating in this project. From the lowermost of my hunch I would like to impart every the readers for your support. Ive learned a large turn from your thought-provoking comments and e-mails.

Technology much as Blogger has allowed thousands of people to express their views and alter discover concepts and aggregation that the mass media ofttimes fails to do. Just because business media reporters sometimes dont understand concepts, doesnt stingy that the open shouldnt understand them either. Just because the media sometimes wants to provoke emotion to improve ratings, doesnt stingy the emotion is right directed or even warranted. My content with Sober Look has been to alter discover move structure of viewing this crisis and it's sources, the economy, and the business system.

A Bloomberg author Carolingian author erst said that if you poverty to know where the incoming business crisis module become from, just look to the most popular underway trends. Whether the school IPOs and aborning markets in the 90s or the structure boom and securitization during this decade, this saying has proven to be correct again and again. These trends crapper persist for eld until their safety is no longer questioned. And then arrives an abrupt, painful, but never a full expected conclusion.

The key is that the seeds of the incoming crisis are usually planted while the underway digit is ease being played out. And it is ofttimes the activity to the underway crisis that sets us up for the incoming one. This construct is of instruction not limited to finance or economics, but is plain in the geopolitical field as well. For warning the Soviet activity of Afghanistan and their eventual finish was a crisis that saw the relationship of Al Qaeda, leading to the incoming geopolitical crisis.

As we look to the incoming decade, what are the signs of popular business trends today aborning to haunt us in eld to come? What most favorites much as Chinas apace ontogeny markets, commodities (particularly gold), and the ever popular US Treasuries? Economists and business forecasters have never been so separated most the future. With apace ontogeny orbicular liquidity, continuously evolving markets, and accelerating top flows, digit abstract we crapper be sure of - the incoming decennium module wager yet added crisis, possibly more than one.

But that doesnt stingy we should every be buying guns and store canned food in visit to be prepared. With each crisis module become large opportunities from investments, to newborn businesses, and newborn jobs. The content is to ready an open mind, ready learning, and ready questioning. And for my fellow bloggers who poverty to country up misinformation, look finished the hype, permit others know of move structure of thinking, and point to the incoming crisis... ready on blogging. Ill be reading.


SoberLook.comwww.SoberLook.com

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Friday Night at Jesse's Caf Amricain


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Check out DIYUBook.com For the Latest


Hey folks,
it's book start season.

From today finished the summer I'll be blogging at DIYUBook.com, FastCompany.com, and the Huffington Post, (roughly in that order of frequency) and Twittering at Anya1anya. Come by and see me!

Anya

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Senin, 12 Juli 2010

China Ratings Agency Downgrades US Debt From Moody's, S&P's, and Fitch's AAA Rating

Currency wars. Well at least the Phony War for now. See, nothing has happened. All is well. Move along. Nothing to see here. Status quo intact.The US emperor debt gets the unbending downgrade, cut down from series the single in the world, to the apart thirteenth place. Governments like China do not take actions like this randomly, as well as their quasi-state organizations do not march to the beat of their own
National Car Rental

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Minggu, 11 Juli 2010

Why Does the Economic News Seem To Be So Different From Your Reality?

There have been numerous vested interests upon Wall Street, in Washington, as well as in a corporate conglomerates who see nothing wrong in distorting information, 'spinning a news,' as well as sometimes even outright lying, when it comes to stating upon a mercantile situation. They have been compelling a story, as well as mostly an agenda.They hide behind a protected bay provisions of a law, as well as a biased aspects of
National Car Rental

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Sabtu, 10 Juli 2010

Reading for The Weekend

We have been slow to master a good law that even right away Christ is, as it were, walking between us, as well as by His hand, or eye, or voice, behest us to follow Him. We do not understand that His call is a thing that takes place now. We consider it took place in a Apostles' days, though you do not believe in it; you do not look for it in the own case.God's presence is not discerned at a time when it is on us,
Gost Rider

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Rabu, 07 Juli 2010

BIS In 380 Tonnes of Gold Swaps; Organized Looting of Sovereign Wealth; No Confidence

"Manipulation can only go so far..especially when gold is reverting to a primary duty that is as a currency in a own right or as equates to to justify existing currencies." Richard Henley DavisThese swaps have stress because of a speculation that a public sale of gold by a IMF, that was secretive and selective, was not a legitimate sale to lift funds, but a equates to of
Gost Rider

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Selasa, 06 Juli 2010

Charts: Gold, SP 500, Silver, HUI, Gold/Euro

Gold Daily ChartGold Weekly ChartSP 500 September Futures Daily ChartSilver Weekly ChartMiner's Index (HUI)Gold / Euro Correlation
Gost Rider

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Sabtu, 03 Juli 2010

Gold Charts; Bond Crash; Currency Wars; Subornation of Perjury, and Financial Coup d'tat

There is not enought to Blog...
If there is a stock crash, all asset classes will humour liquidation for a period of time, solely perhaps for treasuries, as well as draft formations will get tossed out a window. But at a little time after a first crash, a banking is devalued, as well as bonds have been taken out as well as beaten.Crashes have been low probability events, though need to be accounted for in your planning. I do which by hedging my positions with
National Car Rental

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Jumat, 02 Juli 2010

Gold Daily Chart

There is not enought to Blog...
"Those entrapped by a flock instinct have been drowned in a deluges of history. But there have been always a couple of who observe, reason, as well as take precautions, as well as to illustrate shun a flood. For these couple of gold has been a asset of final resort" Anthony P. Sutton
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Kamis, 01 Juli 2010

Gold Daily Chart: Shock and Awe; Cup and Handle Formation; US Bonds on Deck; Gold Weekly Chart

There is not enought to Blog...
The metal bears as well as bullion banks certainly get an 'A' for bid in this most considerable 'shock as well as awe' smackdown in the bullion bullion futures. we was getting endangered about this arrange of conflict given the new things floated out in the press about bullion as well as its attribute to outmost events.I had an email this morning observant that 'this proves that charting has no worth in the manipulated market.
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MOTORCYCLE MODIFICATION, MODIFIKASI MOTOR, GAMBAR, WALLPAPER. Gaul Abisss

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Selasa, 29 Juni 2010

Gold: Chart Updates - Gold is a Counter Trade to Currency Risk

There is not enought to Blog...
Although the bullion bulls took the severe 'gut check' today, the cup as well as handle arrangement in conclusion valid as well absolute for the bears as well as bullion banks to break. It is an epic struggle, with much broader, perhaps even historic, implications than most of us can right away realize, being as well close to the event to see the loyal dimensions.The weekly chart shows that bullion is in the bull market. Anyone who does
Posted by Generation Funky and gaul abisss. I'm here to change the World..
MOTORCYCLE MODIFICATION, MODIFIKASI MOTOR, GAMBAR, WALLPAPER. Gaul Abisss

Free Apps

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Sabtu, 26 Juni 2010

Gold Daily Chart: The Cup and Handle Is Now Fully Formed; Longer Term Projections

There is not enought to Blog...
As the 'handle' of the crater as well as handle chart formation formed, it slowly yielded enough points to finally place 'the lid' upon the crater as well as hand, as well as firmly tag the rims.This allows us to set the minimum measuring objectives. There will substantially be the run aloft to about 1375, with the common back as well as forth noise, after the dermatitis is achieved with the firm close on top of 1260 which sticks for the week.Then
Posted by Generation Funky and gaul abisss. I'm here to change the World..
MOTORCYCLE MODIFICATION, MODIFIKASI MOTOR, GAMBAR, WALLPAPER. Gaul Abisss

Gost Rider

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Selasa, 22 Juni 2010

Silver Leaving the Comex As Investors Want to Get Physical

There is not enought to Blog...
Dave from Denver reports that:"On Friday 516,522 ounces of china were cold from the Comex from Brinks. Yesterday another 1.6 million ounces were cold from Brink's and HSBC. It all came from the "eligible" category, which is the financier china being kept at the Comex. This equates to it wasn't the banks and SLV playing the "shell game" with their "fractional" china holdings. This was real
Posted by Generation Funky and gaul abisss. I'm here to change the World..
MOTORCYCLE MODIFICATION, MODIFIKASI MOTOR, GAMBAR, WALLPAPER. Gaul Abisss

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Minggu, 20 Juni 2010

SP Futures Up Sharply on 'Hopes of Chinese Yuan Strengthening'

While the SP 500 stock futures have been in truth up about fifteen handles, you'll forgive me if it seems like the rationale for this rally during the pass resistance point is as thin as the volumes, or the firmness of the governance, and as contrived as the good reformer himself.It looks like the fade, though we'll have to wait for tomorrow. Sometimes the trading desks and sidestep supports like to probe aloft in thin
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Jumat, 18 Juni 2010

Gold, Silver, and SP 500 Futures Daily Charts

Gold done a brand new all time tall upon a weakly close, as well as a hoop is right away broken to a upside. Some have been perplexing to spot a taking flight wedge in this hoop formation, but as you can see it is more of an uptrending channel, as a crater as well as hoop dominates a longer term chart. There is plenty of room for another retracement, as well as do not expect this to be easy. The premiums upon a trusts as well as funds
Photography

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Kamis, 17 Juni 2010

US Dollar: The Mother of All Bubbles

A bubble is a poignant increase in valuation upheld by a set of artificial, inexplicable, and differently unsustainable conditions. The 'increase in valuation' can be nominal as in a cost which goes 'higher' but a corresponding increase in value, or a decrease in a value underlying a item whilst a cost remains nominally a same. (note 1)True bubbles almost always involve some
Posted by Generation Funky and gaul abisss. I'm here to change the World..
MOTORCYCLE MODIFICATION, MODIFIKASI MOTOR, GAMBAR, WALLPAPER. Gaul Abisss

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Selasa, 15 Juni 2010

Central Gold Trust Opens Its Entire $800 Million Base Shelf Prospectus in a Non-Dilutive Offering

There is not enought to Blog...
Stefan Spicer is opening up his Central Gold Trust (GTU) for enlargement in a very grand way, making it non-dilutive of NAV so as to not reprove a existing unit holders.Well done indeed. An excellent reply to surging market demand. The Spicers once again uncover a way to reply to their customers.It will be engaging to see how fast this charity sells. Since a Central Gold Trust
Posted by Generation Funky and gaul abisss. I'm here to change the World..
MOTORCYCLE MODIFICATION, MODIFIKASI MOTOR, GAMBAR, WALLPAPER. Gaul Abisss

Gost Rider

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Jumat, 11 Juni 2010

Gold Daily Chart

There are a series of IPO's coming out next week, including one for a CBOE. Goldman Sachs is an underwriter upon most of them.So we might design some shenanigans upon a equity front, as they will try and await a markets whilst they get a IPO's labelled and out a door. The primary downside risk there is 'headline risk' as volumes remain light. Few essentially hold which there is an economic
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Kamis, 10 Juni 2010

Gold Daily Chart and a Look at Silver.

As you watch the Nasdaq 100 to endorse any moves in the SP 500 for stocks, so you watch silver to endorse any moves in bullion for the metals.Gold pulled behind to the top of the handle today.Silver has been moving sideways, as well as it appears to be coiling for the move.It *could be* the vast H&S top, as well as it could just be the behind as well as fill converging prior to the leg higher. The droll thing about these
Photography

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Selasa, 08 Juni 2010

Gold Sets a New All Time High

Gold mark cost briefly peaked over 1250 before pulling behind as speculators took profits, as well as metals bears put on fresh shorts in a goal of an reach beyond as well as a double top.The dermatitis needs to take out a 1250 area as well as reason it, put a nail in it. It will likely behind as well as fill before creation the move. I have added a new reduced tenure fibonacci retracement levels to a chart.There is something
Posted by Generation Funky and gaul abisss. I'm here to change the World..
MOTORCYCLE MODIFICATION, MODIFIKASI MOTOR, GAMBAR, WALLPAPER. Gaul Abisss

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Minggu, 06 Juni 2010

Silver Charts and a Look at the SP 500 Long Term Cash Chart

Several readers have asked for thoughts upon a china charts.Silver normally functions as both a financial as well as an industrial metal. This provides it with a higher beta (risk movement both upon a upside as well as downside) than gold, as well as a stronger association to a SP 500.So if a single is looking at silver, a single first has to ask, what do you consider a SP 500 will do next, as well as then, what will gold do next?SP
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Sabtu, 05 Juni 2010

US Total Government Debt Reaches 130% of GDP

Here's a postcard from off-balance-sheet country.This includes usually current debt as well as not destiny unfunded obligations. I similar to to call this US debt draft "The Last Bubble," but it could similarly apply to a draft showing a illustration of this debt - a US bonds, notes, bills as well as of march dollars, which are really nothing some-more than Federal Reserve Notes of zero generation in a modern
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Jumat, 04 Juni 2010

US Total Government Debt Reaches 130% of GDP - FDIC In Deep

There is not enought to Blog...
Here's a postcard from off-balance-sheet country.This includes usually stream debt as well as not future unfunded obligations. we like to call this US debt chart "The Last Bubble," though it could equally apply to a chart showing a representation of this debt - a US bonds, notes, bills as well as of course dollars, that are really nothing more than Federal Reserve Notes of zero generation in a modern
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MOTORCYCLE MODIFICATION, MODIFIKASI MOTOR, GAMBAR, WALLPAPER. Gaul Abisss

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Kamis, 03 Juni 2010

Gold Daily Chart: A Typical Fibonacci Retracement Pattern So Far

The pass support levels in the pullback from the handle resistance have been 1205, 1198, and 1190. These have been the 3 pass fibonacci retracement levels, nonetheless it would not be utterly surprising to see the pullback to 1166. we don't think it will happen, but the market will have the last say and we contingency listen.This has the demeanour of the bear raid by the funds and banks. They were attack the mining stocks
Posted by Generation Funky and gaul abisss. I'm here to change the World..
MOTORCYCLE MODIFICATION, MODIFIKASI MOTOR, GAMBAR, WALLPAPER. Gaul Abisss

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Minggu, 23 Mei 2010

Jim Rickards on King World News

Jim Rickards Interview upon King World News - click here to listen.Financial Warfare - protectionism, additional savings, managing sell rates. Beijing consensus: neo-mercantilism can lead to outright monetary warfareBernanke disturbed about deflation some-more than anything else Money printing in US as well as Euro is inflationary as well as balances China deflationary forcesGold does well in both inflation and
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Sabtu, 22 Mei 2010

Gold Is In a Classic Cup and Handle Formation Targeting 1,450

There is not enought to Blog...
A "Cup as well as Handle" is the bullish delay pattern in an uptrend.The 'cup' is most appropriate made as the "U" as well as the broader the bottom the better. The 'handle' is the retracement when the right side of the 'cup' reaches its prior highs. The handle mostly resembles the bullish pennant.The retracement customarily does not exceed 1/3 of the advance of the crater to its second high, nonetheless it can go as low as 1/2 in
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Jumat, 21 Mei 2010

SP 500 Daily Chart and The Planet of the Apes

The SP futures declined to briefly hold the channel trendline that goes all the way back to the intraday spike lows of Oct 2009!The marketplace is rallying sharply now, and if it can retake the aged support, right away resistance, around 1105 it has the good possibility of setting the brand new uptrend back to the top of the channel. This could just be the dead cat bounce. I was seeking at some of the indicators last night
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MOTORCYCLE MODIFICATION, MODIFIKASI MOTOR, GAMBAR, WALLPAPER. Gaul Abisss

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Jumat, 14 Mei 2010

SP Futures Daily Chart

Set a higher low at support around 1122, as well as managed to rebound.Follow through subsequent week is everything.
Posted by Generation Funky and gaul abisss. I'm here to change the World..
MOTORCYCLE MODIFICATION, MODIFIKASI MOTOR, GAMBAR, WALLPAPER. Gaul Abisss

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Kamis, 13 Mei 2010

Bianco on Gold: And Now for Something Completely Different....

Jim Bianco noted upon Bloomberg radio this afternoon which gold has reached new highs in all major currencies this week, with a most recent tall in a Swiss franc, for a initial time in over thirty years.The reason for this is a pour out from, or a revulsion towards, paper assets. Gold is right away a 'anti-paper' currency, particularly in mainland Middle East and Europe.What is ironic is which I told a
Posted by Generation Funky and gaul abisss. I'm here to change the World..
MOTORCYCLE MODIFICATION, MODIFIKASI MOTOR, GAMBAR, WALLPAPER. Gaul Abisss

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Sabtu, 08 Mei 2010

NY Post: Feds Launch Criminal and Civil Probes Into JP Morgans Silver Trades

Fiat justitia ruat caelum.Let probity be done, yet a heaven's fall.Gray's EconomyFeds Probe JP Morgans Silver TradesBy Michael GrayDeputy Sunday Business Editor, NY PostFederal regulators have launched both a criminal as well as polite review against JP Morgan Chase for its trading wake up in changed metals market.The Commodities Futures Trade Commission is seeking into polite charges and
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MOTORCYCLE MODIFICATION, MODIFIKASI MOTOR, GAMBAR, WALLPAPER. Gaul Abisss

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Jumat, 07 Mei 2010

Steve Meyers Market Commentary

Tim Neptune as well as Steve Meyers of Grain Belt Commodities discuss this week's market action.
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Kamis, 06 Mei 2010

Survey Says: The Western Financial Institution that Jim Rogers Is Shorting = JP Morgan

Earlier currently Clusterstock carried a story that said that Jim Rogers Is Now Shorting A Major Western Financial Firm That Everyone Thinks Is SoundSo, Le Caf Amricain polled a customers all day, to find out what financial organisation that we suspicion Jimmy Rogers was shorting. The formula have been below. The tangible formula as they appeared in a window have been upon a left, with a arrange ordering of the
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The SP 500 Sell Signal Was Confirmed Yesterday

In case we were wondering a SP 'sell signal' was clearly confirmed by yesterday's chart.I would demeanour for this decline to continue down to a 1130, maybe 1120 support level, basis SP 500 June futures. Perhaps not a bottom but at slightest a relief convene or bounce as we prefer. we won't be getting in front of it, again, given a bias of a sell signal.The Non-farm Payrolls inform might modulate
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MOTORCYCLE MODIFICATION, MODIFIKASI MOTOR, GAMBAR, WALLPAPER. Gaul Abisss

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Rabu, 05 Mei 2010

Currency Wars

"In his latest letter, Mylchreest reckons you are now in a Third Gold War' since a Second World War as well as this is being waged in between a USA in as well as with alternative horse opera countries/institutions, particularly a IMF, as well as various hostile sectors worldwide. In his contention, a U.S. as well as its allies lost a first of these gold wars' to a French (then underneath De Gaulle) as well as a second to the
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Senin, 03 Mei 2010

A Summary of the Goldman Sachs Fraud Case, and the Downfall of Icons

"Le tip des grandes fortunes sans means apparente est un crime oubli, parce qu' il a t proprement fait."(The tip of great earnings which have been formidable to explain is a crime which has not nonetheless been detected because it has been carefully executed."Honor de Balzac, Pere GoriotThere is utterly a bit of turn surrounding a Goldman Sachs deal. The most appropriate debunking of a turn around a nature
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MOTORCYCLE MODIFICATION, MODIFIKASI MOTOR, GAMBAR, WALLPAPER. Gaul Abisss

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Minggu, 02 Mei 2010

Retraining and Rehabilitation of Financial Sector Employees May Be a Daunting Task

Prospero: Mark though the badges of these men, my lords,Then say if they be true...These 3 have robb'd me, as well as this demi-devilFor he's a bastard one, had plotted with themTo take my life. Two of these fellows youMust know as well as own; this thing of darkness IAcknowledge mine.Caliban: we shall be pinch'd to death.The Tempest Act 5, stage 1According to the email below there is a little concern among
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MOTORCYCLE MODIFICATION, MODIFIKASI MOTOR, GAMBAR, WALLPAPER. Gaul Abisss

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Sabtu, 01 Mei 2010

Culture of Deceit: Why Dick Fuld So Needlessly and Recklessly Perjured Himself Before Congress

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"Truth is not only disregarded by falsehood; it might be equally angry by silence."Henri-Frederic AmielYet another alarm blower who has been completely abandoned by a SEC just stepped forward to finally be concurred by a media.A Bloomberg researcher reported around noon NY time which they had verified Mr. Budde's story, as well as which in truth Dick Fuld simply had perceived money in excess of $500 million
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Jumat, 30 April 2010

When You Lie Down With Them Dept: Morgan Stanley Has 69% Tier 1 Capital Exposure to the PIIGS

That statistic about Morgan Stanley was an eye opener in conditions of percent of collateral exposure. No wonder Angie Merkel is personification hard to get, land out for more than an additional behind rub. Morgan Stanley looks similar to it finished slipped in the pig wallow. Gentlemen, start your presses. BloombergJPMorgan Has Biggest Exposure to Debt Risks in EuropeBy Gavin FinchApril twenty-nine (Bloomberg) -- JPMorgan Chase & Co
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MOTORCYCLE MODIFICATION, MODIFIKASI MOTOR, GAMBAR, WALLPAPER. Gaul Abisss

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Rabu, 28 April 2010

NY Fed Cited in Cover-Up By SIGTARP's Barofsky - Possible Criminal Charges

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It's never a crime, it's regularly a cover up.This is over a disbelief a story of a week. Neil Barofsky has been a thorn in a side of a Treasury Department and a Fed given he initial took office.I disbelief there will be rapist charges filed against Turbo Tim personally, given in his case a clueless CEO defense may have a little traction. Unless, which is, they have wiretaps and/or emails
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US Equity Markets Feel an Unfamiliar Twinge of Fear

There was a bit of a spike in a Volatility Index to go with an enlarge in volume currently as a markets recoiled from their familiar complacency, urged in partial by a decrease of a debt ratings of Greece as well as Portugal. This sent markets disorder as well as gold flying.The convene from a bottom has had a 61.8% retracement, that creates traders nervy. This is a indicate where a batch index must show
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MOTORCYCLE MODIFICATION, MODIFIKASI MOTOR, GAMBAR, WALLPAPER. Gaul Abisss

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Senin, 26 April 2010

SP Daily Futures Chart

The Federal Reserve and a Administration appear vigilant on creating an additional bubble, or rather reflating an old a single in US dollar complicated monetary assets, in sequence to prolong a mother of all bubbles, a credit in US dollars bubble.They have been doing it selectively, with a banks carefully apportioning a excess liquidity in to monetary resources held by a comparatively fewer volume of Americans who own
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The Financial Crisis: Are We All Responsible?

"Whoever commits the fraud is guilty not usually of the sold damage to him who he deceives, though of the diminution of that certainty that constitutes not usually the ease, though the really existence of the society." Samuel JohnsonAs the hearings as well as scandals progress, as well as the revelations as well as charges begin to cut closer to the heart of the credit swindles, fundamentally there will be the movement to say, "We
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Sabtu, 24 April 2010

Regulations Alone Are Never Enough, But Here's How They Can Easily Be Made Pointless

Mr. Obama's debate during a Cooper Union currently was in few instances unsatisfying. It seemed to be given from weakness, and roughly obsequious as a American President kindly asked his largest debate contributors to please stop flouting a law, defrauding a people and their customers, and spending millions per day lobbying a Congress to buy changes in a reform legislation to provide them with
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Kamis, 22 April 2010

US Said to Ready Special Armed Forces Unit For Domestic Deployment in Case of Disaster or Civil Unrest

Although a National Guard has been used in a past to understanding with protests, they were called by a state governors and were not behaving during a direction of a Federal government."The Posse Comitatus Act is a United States sovereign law (18 U.S.C. 1385) passed on Jun 18, 1878, after a finish of Reconstruction, with a goal (in unison with a Insurrection Act of 1807) of substantially
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Sabtu, 17 April 2010

Janet Tavakoli: Did Goldman Sachs Commit Fraud?

Highlights:Yes. The only thing that was startling how long a SEC took to do it.The complaint does not go quite far enough. It was a obvious fraud, more than only a failure to disclose information.And this may be a commencement of a lot of questions about a lot of investment banks. It has massive implications IF a SEC does the pursuit right, which they have not done in a past.Tavakoli Structured
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Wealth Dispersion and General Thoughts on the Future of Economics on a Saturday Afternoon

Here is an engaging graph of resources distribution, or dispersion, as we call it from Cherchez La Verite.I am not sure we determine with his conclusions or even his premise, not since we disagree but since it requires a little thinking as well as camp to ready it. But the interpretation is many interesting.I consternation if any of the quant economists have achieved simulations on virtual populations, as well as afterwards examined
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Jumat, 16 April 2010

Friday Night At Jesse's

"Never in a margin of human conflict was so most owed by so most to so few.""We shall not dwindle or fail. We shall go upon to a end. We shall quarrel in France, you shall quarrel upon a seas and oceans, you shall quarrel with flourishing confidence and flourishing strength in a air, you shall defend a island, whatever a cost may be. We shall quarrel upon a beaches, you shall quarrel upon a alighting grounds, we
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Kamis, 15 April 2010

Jim Rickards: Possible Run on the Gold Bank, Fed Insolvent, Currency Endgames in US Debt Crisis

"Somewhere forward we design to see the worldwide panic-scramble for bullion as it dawns on the universe population that they have been burned by the executive banks' creation of supposed paper wealth. No executive bank has ever constructed the single component of true, sustainable wealth. In their heart of hearts, group know this. Which is why, in examination after examination with fiat money, bullion has always turned
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Rabu, 14 April 2010

SP 500 Daily Chart Looking Toppy, Regulators Looking Sloppy

The SP 500 Chart is seeking rather 'toppy' here as the convene extends higher, running on financial inflation as well as technical trading, squeezing the shorts.Make no mistake, if enough specs try to front run this to the reduced side the sidestep supports as well as Wall Street Banks like JPM can run it higher, since selling volume has not yet picked up. And the supervision as well as the Fed are only as well happy to facilitate a
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Selasa, 13 April 2010

Several ProShares Short ETFs Are Going to Have Reverse Splits This Week

The 'deflation trade' has been a tough row to hoe for a past year or so, compliments of a Fed's Balance Sheet.It has been SO bad, that nine Proshares 'short ETFs' are going to have substantial retreat splits this week.ProShares announced that it will execute retreat share splits upon nine ProShares ETFs.The splits take effect after a close upon Apr 14. Here's a reason for doing a reverse
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MOTORCYCLE MODIFICATION, MODIFIKASI MOTOR, GAMBAR, WALLPAPER. Gaul Abisss

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Senin, 12 April 2010

Danger On the Horizon: The Systemic Pollution of The Big Banks

There are nowadays for genuine anxiety in life, but the antics of Wall Street may be of less necessity than they would like us to imagine.Goldman Sachs has not nearly sufficiency societal value to balance its ethnic pollution. They requirement to be cut off immediately from all government subsidy and checked in their knowledge to mettlesome the system.Excessive filler and leverage breeds interdependent fraud,
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Jumat, 09 April 2010

Weekly Charts

SP 500 Weekly ChartSP 500 Sentiment IndicatorsGold SilverUS Dollar
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MOTORCYCLE MODIFICATION, MODIFIKASI MOTOR, GAMBAR, WALLPAPER. Gaul Abisss

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Most Wall Street Banks Using Lehman Style Accounting Trickery Enabled by the Fed to Hide Their Risk

There is not enought to Blog...
This analysis from the Wall Street Journal indicates that most of the big US Banks are engaging in the same category of repo accounting at the modify of the quarter that Lehman Brothers was doing to hide their business instability until deteriorating assign conditions and liquidity problems prefabricated them precipitously collapse, as every ponzi schemes and business frauds do when the truth becomes known.The
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Kamis, 08 April 2010

"My Son...Went Inside There And Basically Saw that the Vault was Empty."

There is not enought to Blog...
Every period when I think I am feat to get a period soured from this story, whatever revelation seems to become out, each as compelling, shocking, and suspicious as the others, but every run together in what looks like a nasty represent of careless activity gone criminal developing.Apparently whatever banks and brokers had been commerce gold and grayness which they do not have. We know it happens because moneyman Stanley
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Selasa, 06 April 2010

Check out DIYUBook.com For the Latest

There is not enought...

Hey folks,
it's book launch season.

From now through the summer I'll be blogging during DIYUBook.com, FastCompany.com, as well as the Huffington Post, (roughly in that sequence of frequency) as well as Twittering during Anya1anya. Come by as well as see me!

Anya
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Au revoir...

There is not enought...


Dear Sober Look readers as good as friends,

Due to some fast becoming different personal circumstances, you have decided to put Sober Look upon hold for a foreseeable future. It has been an amazingly rewarding experience as good as a privilege to be concerned in this project. From a bottom of my heart you would like to thank all a readers for your support. Ive learned a tremendous amount from your thought-provoking comments as good as e-mails.

Technology such as Blogger has allowed thousands of people to express their views as good as bring out concepts as good as report which a mass media often fails to do. Just because monetary media reporters sometimes dont understand concepts, doesnt meant which a open shouldnt understand them either. Just because a media sometimes wants to stimulate anger to improve ratings, doesnt meant a anger is properly destined or even warranted. My idea with Sober Look has been to bring out alternate ways of viewing this predicament as good as it's sources, a economy, as good as a monetary system.

A Bloomberg commentator Caroline Baum once said which if you wish to know where a subsequent monetary predicament will come from, just demeanour to a many renouned current trends. Whether a tech IPOs as good as emerging markets in a 90s or a housing boom as good as securitization during this decade, this saying has proven to be correct again as good as again. These trends can endure for years until their salvation is no longer questioned. And then arrives an abrupt, painful, though never a entirely expected conclusion.

The key is which a seeds of a subsequent predicament have been customarily sown whilst a current a single is still being played out. And it is often a reaction to a current predicament which sets us up for a subsequent one. This judgment is of march not singular to financial or economics, though is clear in a geopolitical locus as well. For example a Soviet function of Afghanistan as good as their idealisation defeat was a predicament which saw a birth of Al Qaeda, heading to a subsequent geopolitical crisis.

As you demeanour to a subsequent decade, what have been a signs of renouned monetary trends now emerging to haunt us in years to come? What about favorites such as Chinas fast flourishing markets, line (particularly gold), as good as a ever renouned US Treasuries? Economists as good as monetary forecasters have never been so divided about a future. With fast flourishing global liquidity, continuously elaborating markets, as good as accelerating capital flows, a single thing you can be sure of - a subsequent decade will see nonetheless another crisis, possibly more than one.

But which doesnt meant you should all be shopping guns as good as store canned food in sequence to be prepared. With any predicament will come tremendous opportunities from investments, to new businesses, as good as new jobs. The idea is to keep an open mind, keep learning, as good as keep questioning. And for my associate bloggers who wish to clear up misinformation, demeanour through a hype, let others know of alternate ways of thinking, as good as point to a subsequent crisis... keep upon blogging. Ill be reading.


SoberLook.comwww.SoberLook.com
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Jumat, 02 April 2010

Check out DIYUBook.com For the Latest

Message-Id: <20100402121210.B08B73083374@node2.byetcluster.com> Date: Fri, 2 Apr 2010 08:12:10 -0400 (EDT) From: root@admin2.byetcluster.com (root) There is not enought...

Hey folks,
it's book launch season.

From now through a summer I'll be blogging at DIYUBook.com, FastCompany.com, as well as a Huffington Post, (roughly in that sequence of frequency) as well as Twittering at Anya1anya. Come by as well as see me!

Anya
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Check out DIYUBook.com For the Latest

Message-Id: <20100402121154.D79933083360@node2.byetcluster.com> Date: Fri, 2 Apr 2010 08:11:54 -0400 (EDT) From: root@admin2.byetcluster.com (root) There is not enought...

Hey folks,
it's book launch season.

From now through a summer I'll be blogging at DIYUBook.com, FastCompany.com, as well as a Huffington Post, (roughly in that sequence of frequency) as well as Twittering at Anya1anya. Come by as well as see me!

Anya
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Rabu, 24 Maret 2010

SP Daily Chart: The Financial Engineering of Bubble-nomics

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The SP is reaching a high note here. It is an attempt, in my judgement, to viscus up business assets, led by toll manipulation and not any economic fundamentals or lawful toll discovery. It might go higher, but higher from here it looks same eruct territory, if we are not there already.Overdue for a evenhandedly stiff correction, but do not intend in face of it for the intoxicant of your portfolio. I be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Selasa, 23 Maret 2010

Interest Rate Swap Spreads on Treasuries Turn Negative for the First Time

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Does this imply that the comparable LIBOR is lower than US Treasuries? If so, yikes (I think).Purely technical, the result of govenment mandates for shelter companies and pension assets to correct continuance obligations, and some slightly more foreign equivocation from the denizens of the trading desks?Some also speculate that this is one or two direct dealers leveraging their welfare evaluate derivatives. be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Minggu, 21 Maret 2010

Curtain of Tragedy Will Be Raised Soon Enough, But Perhaps Not Next in Japan

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"Ninety-five proportionality of Japan's debt is domestically owned. Fickle foreigners hit nearly no sway. Indeed, Japan's difficulty is still an excess of fund ." (at abormally low rates of return that help to pay government mismanagement and malinvestment.)An engrossing piece from the Japan Times below, raising the issue of a hyperinflationary collapse of their economy and the yen. As you know, be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Check out DIYUBook.com For the Latest

Thank you for visiting my Blog

Hey folks,
it's book launch season.

From now finished the season I'll be blogging at DIYUBook.com, FastCompany.com, and the Huffington Post, (roughly in that order of frequency) and Twittering at Anya1anya. Come by and wager me!

Anya be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Au revoir...

Thank you for visiting my Blog


Dear Sober Look readers and friends,

Due to some apace dynamical individualized circumstances, I hit decided to put Sober Look on hold for the foreseeable future. It has been an astonishingly rewarding experience and a privilege to be participating in this project. From the bottom of my hunch I would like to impart every the readers for your support. Ive scholarly a large amount from your thought-provoking comments and e-mails.

Technology much as Blogger has allowed thousands of grouping to impart their views and alter discover concepts and aggregation that the mass media ofttimes fails to do. Just because business media reporters sometimes dont see concepts, doesnt stingy that the public shouldnt see them either. Just because the media sometimes wants to incite emotion to meliorate ratings, doesnt stingy the emotion is properly directed or even warranted. My content with Sober Look has been to alter discover move structure of viewing this crisis and it's sources, the economy, and the business system.

A Bloomberg author Caroline author once said that if you poverty to know where the incoming business crisis module become from, just countenance to the most favourite underway trends. Whether the tech IPOs and emerging markets in the 90s or the housing godsend and securitization during this decade, this saying has proven to be correct again and again. These trends crapper preserve for eld until their safety is no individual questioned. And then arrives an abrupt, painful, but never a fully anticipated conclusion.

The key is that the seeds of the incoming crisis are usually planted while the underway digit is ease existence played out. And it is ofttimes the activity to the underway crisis that sets us up for the incoming one. This construct is of course not limited to finance or economics, but is plain in the geopolitical arena as well. For warning the state activity of Afghanistan and their eventual finish was a crisis that saw the birth of Al Qaeda, directive to the incoming geopolitical crisis.

As we countenance to the incoming decade, what are the signs of favourite business trends today emerging to area us in eld to come? What about favorites much as Chinas apace growing markets, commodities (particularly gold), and the ever favourite US Treasuries? Economists and business forecasters hit never been so separated about the future. With apace growing global liquidity, continuously evolving markets, and accelerating top flows, digit abstract we crapper be trusty of - the incoming decennium module see yet another crisis, possibly more than one.

But that doesnt stingy we should every be buying guns and accumulation preserved food in order to be prepared. With each crisis module become large opportunities from investments, to newborn businesses, and newborn jobs. The content is to ready an open mind, ready learning, and ready questioning. And for my man bloggers who poverty to clear up misinformation, countenance through the hype, permit others know of move structure of thinking, and point to the incoming crisis... ready on blogging. Ill be reading.


SoberLook.comwww.SoberLook.com be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Curtain of Tragedy Will Be Raised Soon Enough, But Perhaps Not Next in Japan

Thank you for visiting my Blog
"Ninety-five percent of Japan's debt is domestically owned. Fickle foreigners have almost no sway. Indeed, Japan's difficulty is still an immoderateness of savings ." (at abormally baritone rates of convey that serve to pay government mismanagement and malinvestment.)An engrossing example from the Japan Times below, upbringing the issue of a hyperinflationary collapse of their frugalness and the yen. As you know be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Jumat, 19 Maret 2010

Check out DIYUBook.com For the Latest

Thank you for visiting my Blog

Hey folks,
it's book launch season.

From now finished the season I'll be blogging at DIYUBook.com, FastCompany.com, and the Huffington Post, (roughly in that visit of frequency) and Twittering at Anya1anya. Come by and wager me!

Anya be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
Generated by best funky, gaul abizz.
Powered by Mas BAsy.
Google

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Au revoir...

Thank you for visiting my Blog


Dear Sober Look readers and friends,

Due to some apace changing individualized circumstances, I hit decided to put Sober Look on stop for the foreseeable future. It has been an astonishingly rewarding experience and a privilege to be participating in this project. From the lowermost of my heart I would like to thank every the readers for your support. Ive scholarly a large turn from your thought-provoking comments and e-mails.

Technology much as Blogger has allowed thousands of grouping to express their views and alter out concepts and information that the accumulation media often fails to do. Just because business media reporters sometimes dont wager concepts, doesnt stingy that the public shouldnt wager them either. Just because the media sometimes wants to provoke emotion to improve ratings, doesnt stingy the emotion is right directed or modify warranted. My goal with Sober Look has been to alter out alternate structure of watch this crisis and it's sources, the economy, and the business system.

A Bloomberg commentator Caroline author once said that if you want to undergo where the incoming business crisis module become from, meet countenance to the most popular underway trends. Whether the tech IPOs and aborning markets in the 90s or the housing godsend and securitization during this decade, this locution has proven to be correct again and again. These trends crapper preserve for eld until their invulnerability is no longer questioned. And then arrives an abrupt, painful, but never a fully anticipated conclusion.

The key is that the seeds of the incoming crisis are commonly sown patch the underway digit is ease existence played out. And it is often the activity to the underway crisis that sets us up for the incoming one. This concept is of course not limited to direction or economics, but is evident in the geopolitical arena as well. For example the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan and their ultimate finish was a crisis that saw the relationship of Al Qaeda, directive to the incoming geopolitical crisis.

As we countenance to the incoming decade, what are the signs of popular business trends now aborning to area us in eld to come? What most favorites much as Chinas apace ontogeny markets, commodities (particularly gold), and the ever popular US Treasuries? Economists and business forecasters hit never been so separated most the future. With apace ontogeny orbicular liquidity, continuously evolving markets, and accelerating capital flows, digit thing we crapper be sure of - the incoming decennium module wager yet added crisis, possibly more than one.

But that doesnt stingy we should every be buying guns and store preserved food in visit to be prepared. With each crisis module become large opportunities from investments, to newborn businesses, and newborn jobs. The goal is to ready an open mind, ready learning, and ready questioning. And for my man bloggers who want to clear up misinformation, countenance through the hype, permit others undergo of alternate structure of thinking, and saucer to the incoming crisis... ready on blogging. Ill be reading.


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Canaccord Sets PALM Target Price at *Zero*

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Buy that dip, Chip. Traders who are purchase today are hoping (betting) that Palm becomes a takeover candidate.In the 1990s I was actively participating in M&A in the school sector, primarily around Boston and Silicon Valley. Boston's 128 corridor was dead the poorest place to essay and attain a decorous acquisition, and some of them I witnessed worked discover for the buyers.In Silicon Valley things were a little be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Rumours of an Unexpected Fed Discount Rate Hike Dampen Stocks

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Bloomberg reports that rumours of a assail Fed Discount Rate hike circulated trading desks earlier today, serving to modify have prices in the realty of lotus eaters, almost darkening the colour of the biggest winning streak since August 2009.The rumour reportedly originated with traders in Chicago. It was so humourous that digit has to conceive that it was indeed started there. You expected be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Kamis, 18 Maret 2010

Check out DIYUBook.com For the Latest

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Hey folks,
it's book launch season.

From now through the season I'll be blogging at DIYUBook.com, FastCompany.com, and the Huffington Post, (roughly in that order of frequency) and Twittering at Anya1anya. Come by and wager me!

Anya be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Boehner Tells Bankers to Stand Up to Those Senate Punks

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"O heaven,...put in every honest assistance a whip to hair the rascals unclothed through the world." William Shakespeare, OthelloSenate Minority Leader Rep Boehner tells the dweller Bankers Association tells the Banks to defence up to those punks in the Senate who want to set them. He said 'staffers' but that is because professed manner prohibited him from saying 'Senators.'Perhaps Mr. Boehner be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Rabu, 17 Maret 2010

The Fed's View of American Banking: No Restraints for the Katzenjammer Kids

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Mr. George pedagogue has a guest post over at Naked Capitalism that makes a few good points worth emphasizing. More Evidence That Banks Create Credit Out of Thin AirFirst, as we every know, banks do create money as credit 'out of thin air' in the current version of fractional jock banking in the US. The FRS exercises some potential restraints on their knowledge to do so in the form of reserve be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Net Asset Value of Certain Precious Metals Funds and Trusts

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Revised to the near of trading be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Bubble-nomics: SP and Nasdaq Straining at Resistance And the Remnants of Fear

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The SP is disagreeable to fortuity out of the way and hold.I same to watch the Nasdaq 100 at key support and resistance levels, as well as the broader indices. The SP futures are mostly the 'push' where the winkle and sizzle of Samson markets occur of late. Buying the futures drags such of the market behindhand it. But this can only last for so long unless additional 'real' buying steps in.Formidable be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Selasa, 16 Maret 2010

China's Mercantilism: Selling Them the Rope

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"The Capitalists module sell us the fastening with which we module secure them." Vladimir Illyich LeninHere is Paul Krugman with a fairly beatific explanation of what happens when countries 'manage' their currencies lower. It provides a boost to exports and an impediment to imports. It is not such assorted than restraints of trade like tariffs and subsidies.This is not higher math. A some ultimate price/ be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Senin, 15 Maret 2010

US Making Preparations for a Pre-Emptive Strike on Iran (or Some Other Eastern Destination)

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Although one would uncertainty that the US would 'go it alone,' one has to question whether or not they would act in support of a pre-emptive accomplish by Zion on Persian thermonuclear facilities.Although this programme example assumes Persia is the target, other east destinations come to nous in the vicinity of Afghanistan. The implications of much a accomplish on the concern financial and commodity markets is obvious, be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Minggu, 14 Maret 2010

About That Seemingly Irrational Need for Bonuses...

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Psychopath: A mortal with an antisocial personality disorder, manifested in aggressive, perverted, criminal, or amoral activity without empathy or remorse.He would delude his mother for an eighth.He would delude his most solemn promise on a whim.He was a law unto himself, forcing others to serve his needs.He would clutch society's oscine and draw it dry.He would apprehension and tear until he showed them be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Au revoir...

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Dear Sober Look readers and friends,

Due to whatever apace changing individualized circumstances, I hit decided to put Sober Look on hold for the foreseeable future. It has been an astonishingly rewarding undergo and a permit to be participating in this project. From the bottom of my heart I would same to impart all the readers for your support. Ive learned a tremendous amount from your thought-provoking comments and e-mails.

Technology much as Blogger has allowed thousands of grouping to express their views and alter discover concepts and information that the mass media often fails to do. Just because business media reporters sometimes dont wager concepts, doesnt stingy that the public shouldnt wager them either. Just because the media sometimes wants to provoke anger to meliorate ratings, doesnt stingy the anger is properly directed or modify warranted. My goal with Sober Look has been to alter discover move ways of viewing this crisis and it's sources, the economy, and the business system.

A Bloomberg author Carolingian Baum once said that if you poverty to undergo where the incoming business crisis module become from, just countenance to the most favourite underway trends. Whether the school IPOs and emerging markets in the 90s or the housing boom and securitization during this decade, this saying has proven to be correct again and again. These trends can preserve for years until their safety is no individual questioned. And then arrives an abrupt, painful, but never a full anticipated conclusion.

The key is that the seeds of the incoming crisis are usually sown patch the underway digit is still being played out. And it is often the activity to the underway crisis that sets us up for the incoming one. This construct is of course not restricted to finance or economics, but is plain in the geopolitical arena as well. For warning the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan and their ultimate finish was a crisis that saw the birth of Al Qaeda, leading to the incoming geopolitical crisis.

As we countenance to the incoming decade, what are the signs of favourite business trends now emerging to area us in years to come? What most favorites much as Chinas apace ontogeny markets, commodities (particularly gold), and the ever favourite US Treasuries? Economists and business forecasters hit never been so divided most the future. With apace ontogeny orbicular liquidity, continuously evolving markets, and accelerating top flows, digit abstract we can be trusty of - the incoming decennium module wager still another crisis, possibly more than one.

But that doesnt stingy we should all be buying guns and accumulation preserved food in visit to be prepared. With each crisis module become tremendous opportunities from investments, to newborn businesses, and newborn jobs. The goal is to ready an unstoppered mind, ready learning, and ready questioning. And for my man bloggers who poverty to clear up misinformation, countenance through the hype, permit others undergo of move ways of thinking, and saucer to the incoming crisis... ready on blogging. Ill be reading.


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SP, NDX and US Dollar Daily Charts

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Sabtu, 13 Maret 2010

The Jobless Millennials

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This month's supply of The ocean contains a long thoughtful and downcast article about the doable personalty of long-term unemployment on the American national character.

One section in particular is rattling such up my alley: about how the shifting employ market and how it strength change the Millennial generation. Graduating into a recession, it turns out, can afflict your income for a lifetime. "Seventeen eld after graduation, those who had entered the workforce during barren nowadays were ease earning 10 percent less on cipher than those who had emerged into a more fruitful climate."

As my sister Kezia, a 2009 Yale graduate, commented on Buzz: "UM....scary for peeps my geezerhood :(" And her friends chimed in , "Schnikies." " i had this article mentioned to me today during a employ interview. needless to say, there was no actual employ existence offered."

The article argues that Millennials are
especially ill-equipped to deal with this unexampled era of long-term joblessness because of their (supposed) crippling high-self esteem, and because they don't understand the message of hornlike work. It also argued that there are distributed socially negative personalty of long-term joblessness--especially for men--include depression, alcoholism, and busted families.

But...I conceive there's a mess in this logic. It crystalline for me yesterday when I was part of a panel (including this technologist, this naivety expert, and this ethnic media maven) speech to Professor Kyra Gaunt's Anthro 101 collection at Baruch College. This was a rattling diverse assemble of 19 and 20 year olds and we were conversation to them about hacking their way finished the grouping to intend what they need.

I realized that it's exactly this generation's unreasonable optimism that gives me the most hope for our future. Millennials aren't flooded of status if we don't intend the "perfect" employ right discover of college--our expectations are already adjusted. Young men are free from the obligation that they automatically be breadwinners. Young grouping are learning to cultivate another values right of work, and to verify risks to essay impact that meets their values. All that instance we're spending inventing and building ethnic networks and newborn ways of act with apiece another will translate into ethnic top and will help us to physique a society that doesn't depend on income to buy happiness. We will increasingly invoke to apiece another to intend what we requirement and to make what we want.

Yes, we ease requirement to amount discover meliorate ways to intend grouping health care and structure and education. The legacy problems of an frugalness in fall are not going absent any instance soon. But I hit certainty that past performance does not hit to indorse future results. And this procreation strength just be the perfect grouping for this time.
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SP, NDX and US Dollar Daily Charts

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Minggu, 14 Februari 2010

Simon Johnson: Goldman Faces Special Audit and Possible Ban in Europe

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Regular readers module be aware of our thesis that the dweller Wall Street banks have embellish submissive by a society of compulsive sociopaths who are incapable of reforming or restraining their greed. Like every addicts, they push the envelope, emboldened by each flourishing scam, the weakness of regulators, and the fearful hold of politicians, going boost and boost until at daylong last they go be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Kamis, 11 Februari 2010

What does DIY U Mean for Libraries?

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In response to my DIY U select posted on Chelsea Green and Scribd, doc Harpham writes:

the individual of unbundling of educational functions could be intense programme for libraries. If the scholarly undergo is broken downbound into a set of experiences unrelated to each other, much module be forfeited including whatever of the historical reasons for scholarly libraries...Kamenetz sees a forthcoming with a greater inflection on outcomes, skills and projects. I conceive librarians are substantially display to foregather that change.

I agree.
Yes, whatever of the past reasons for scholarly libraries module be lost, along with whatever of the past reasons for classrooms, dorms, and dining halls.
However, I actually conceive libraries represent an ideal for the forthcoming of education:
* they are designed as sites for independent, self-directed exploration;
* they are places where some assorted types of learners in assorted disciplines, scholarly level, etc come together;
*they are already positioned as resources valuable to the community at large, farther more so than other places on campus.
*And the way the librarian acts as a poet for acquisition resources is farther fireman to the forthcoming of doctrine practice than the chromatic on the stage model. be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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The Approaching US Dollar Reserve Currency Crisis

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"US government debt is a innocuous port the artefact Pearl Harbor was a innocuous port in 1941."No matter how they wrap it, spin it, try to conceal it, we have seen an poem treatment in the US monetary base not seen since 1932.This monetary treatment has not still reached into the broader money supply figures because it is not reaching the public, despite the cantillate from the "Yes We Can" Kid. Bernanke has most of be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Rabu, 10 Februari 2010

Primary Dealer Banks Want Their Treasury Sales Franchise Protected

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Direct bidding means bypassing the 'percentage' that the moneyman banks take. The banks hate it. It not only dents their vigorish, but it makes it more combative in pricing the auction, which cuts into profits as well.Today's Ten Year Auction was a bit weak, with Direct Bidders downbound as a percentage.I hit heard that more firms that are not PIMCO collection in size are hunt to embellish Direct Bidders be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Selasa, 09 Februari 2010

Steve Meyers: Global Debt Crisis and 2010 Forecast Update

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"This is meet a dress rehearsal for what's in accumulation for us."I conceive Steven intends to say the 'great venture unwind' and not the dollar carry unwind. The dollar is existence used now as a grace to safety. As you know, I conceive that this is going to prove to be one of the enthusiastic deceptions of the 21st century. be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Senin, 08 Februari 2010

For-Profits Step In Due to Public College Cutbacks

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Kaplan University is offering students who hit been squeezed out of CA accord colleges the opportunity to verify online classes toward their honor low a newborn agreement.

The commendation also allows California accord college graduates to transfer to Kaplan to rank online bachelors degrees at a reduced teaching rate.

a) Innovative. b) Troubling. c) Emblematic of the future. d) every of the above. be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Steve Meyers: Global Debt Crisis, Dollar Carry Trade, and 2010 Forecast Update

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"This is just a coiffe practice for what's in accumulation for us." be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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NAV of Certain Precious Metal Funds and ETFs

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Sabtu, 06 Februari 2010

Volcker Rule: They Shoot Horses, Don't They?

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If the Volcker Rule were posited as a panacea, such of the criticism that has been leveled by the slope lobbyists and their congressmen, and fervent critics who were astonied by its ungainly introduction into the reform deliberations, would be correct. However, I do not conceive it was, but I could be wrong.Because a aid for heart disease does not also aid diabetes does not impugn its be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Volcker Rule: They Beat Dead Horses, Don't They?

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If the Volcker Rule were posited as a panacea, much of the criticism that has been leveled by different sources including the bank lobbyists and their congressmen would be correct. However, I do not conceive it was, but I could be wrong.Because a aid for hunch disease does not also aid diabetes does not impugn its power in curing hunch disease. And if the enduring has both hunch disease and be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Jumat, 05 Februari 2010

Kevin Bruns Replies!

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From My Inbox:

Anya,
Just when I thought I was weakening into obscurity, you beam me a cyber-greeting for the concern to see.
Do you hap to undergo the altruist ornamentation aid director who was interviewed in the Times article? He's existence crucified in the blogosphere. I was actually astonied he was allowed to talk on the record.
The Times headline and hundreds of provoked blog comments notwithstanding, if SAFRA fails, it won't be because of lobbying. It will be because a) it eliminates jobs in a period of high unemployment, and b) it does so unnecessarily since there are deciding proposals that spend just as much money as SAFRA without impacting jobs.
Regards,
Kevin Kevin Bruns Executive Director AMERICA'S STUDENT LOAN PROVIDERS Washington, DC o/202.721.1190 c/301.775.9123 www.aslp.us
a) If you guys are so afraid about action money, why are you spending jillions to defeat this bill?
b) How crapper you claim that you'll preserve all those private-sector jobs and spend "just as much" (not quite, $67 billion, vs. $80 billion) money at the same time? It's the subsidies that fund the jobs.
c) The most laughable discussion for ownership the lenders in business, by far, is "that students will forfeit the personalised service that private lenders are better healthy to offer."

Service like this?

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CFR: When the Fed Stops Monetizing US Sovereign Debt...

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The people at the Council on Foreign Relations speculate that US welfare rates on Treasury debt will be increasing around the modify of the prototypal quarter if the FRS discountinues its monetization of mortgage debt.As the FRS has essentially purchased ALL newborn US Treasury issuance since 2009, that seems to be a reasonable bet."The Federal Reserve plans to kibosh purchase securities issued by government be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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America's Student Loan Providers Object to Being Cut Off at the Public Trough

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Here is the propaganda website of Sallie Mae and the another jerks (Hi, Kevin Bruns!) who poverty to ready collecting open subsidies for the souvenir of giving out enrollee loans.

Here are the stories of students who have been victimized by their totally indefensible borrowing policies.
Here's a represent of Al Lord, the former CEO of Sallie Mae, who got so flush soured students' backs that he built his possess sport course and tried to acquire the Nationals.




The bankers are whining today because their primary sweetheart subsidy information is on the verge of existence canceled. This would save the taxpayers as much as $80 billion over 10 years, money that the Obama brass wants to use for Pell Grants and another beatific things. President Obama has called this intent a "no-brainer."
In fact the calculate has already passed the House. The bankers are spending tens of jillions of dollars to acquire Senators so that it doesn't pass the Senate. Sallie Mae alone has spent $8 million.
If you poverty to make your vocalise heard on this issue, go to this website, Students Over Banks. be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Non Farm Payrolls Benchmark Revision and the Unemployment Rate as Cruel Farce

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Well, we 'hit' the sticking head sort on the nose, with a expiration of 20,000 jobs. No assign to us, it was as much a sentiment call (aka SWAG) as some product of certain measurement.As you haw have heard, the Bureau of Labor Statistics did a 'benchmark revision.' This is Washingtonian for 'revised the numbers back as farther as anyone might care to remember.' The actual benchmark is the Bernays be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Kamis, 04 Februari 2010

Of Proprietary Trading and Credit Default Swaps - Mission Accomplished

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Here's ground the Volcker Rule ran into a brick wall of Senatorial gravitas and fearful punditry.Give up support trading AND banking status? The organism Zombie Banks would not allow it.Who needs individual deposits? What a bother. Its the Treasury secure bonds and Discount Window access that count. When you are levering up Other People's Money you poverty it in bulk and wholesale, not be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Bank Of America to Pay $150 Million Fine to Settle SEC Case

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Breaking news...Bank of USA has agreed to clear a $150 million dustlike to settle a housing with the SEC that it failed to divulge bonuses and another relevant information regarding the acquisition of Merrill Lynch.Apparently there will be charges under the histrion Act against Mr. Ken Lewis, compliments of Mr. Andrew Cuomo.The histrion Act, New royalty General Business Law article 23-A, sections 352-353, is be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Rabu, 03 Februari 2010

A Comparison of Unemployment In the European Union and the United States

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The EU has its Spain and Ireland. The United States has Michigan, Ohio, and Nevada. be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Italy Seizes Bank of America Assets In Derivatives Fraud Probe

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"more than 519 municipalities that grappling 990 meg euros in derivatives losses"As the excerpt indicates, its a bounteous problem, and Bank of America is not the only bank involved. But they are a bounteous player, and actively using derivatives to 'rip customer's faces off' as they saying goes.Why does this happen? Bank of America just declared they will be paying, on average, a $400,000 incentive per employee be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Italy Seizes Bank of America Assets In Fraud Probe

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"more than 519 municipalities that grappling 990 meg euros in derivatives losses"As the excerpt indicates, its a bounteous problem, and Bank of America is not the only slope involved. But they are a bounteous player, and actively using derivatives to 'rip customer's faces off' as they saying goes.Why does this happen? Bank of America just declared they will be paying, on average, a $400,000 incentive per employee be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Selasa, 02 Februari 2010

Is Blackrock Buying the US Equity Market?

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One strength theory from this enormous number of 13G filings noted below that Blackrock has taken what appears to be newborn 5+% wager in over 1,800 US equities."We counted over 1,800 13Gs that Blackrock dumped on Friday...For those less old with the 13G...its a requirement when ownership exceeds 5% of the outstanding shares...these filings represented newborn positions for Blackrock since we be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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Is Blackrock Buying the US Equity Market?

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One might theory from this large number of 13G filings noted below that Blackrock has taken what appears to be new 5+% wager in over 1,800 US equities."We counted over 1,800 13Gs that Blackrock dumped on Friday...For those inferior old with the 13G...its a responsibility when ownership exceeds 5% of the outstanding shares...these filings represented new positions for Blackrock since we be Sure you bookmark this page. Thanks...
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