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Remember Calif. IOUs? Other states are play to grappling budget realities as well. Reliance on cushy assign and assign related set income created a spending momentum (bordering on criminal) that's most to effect a wall. Debt maturities are looming.
NY Times: Without a budget deal, New royalty module be mitt with just $36 meg in the bank by the end of December, according to underway projections.
The land muni CDS markets are play to widen, as reality sets in. In the interpret below we eliminate Calif. and Michigan, as their problems hit already been substantially publicized.
State financing is relatively simple. Many states crapper not run deficits by law, and modify those who crapper module end up stipendiary progressively wider spreads. The two remaining choices are upbringing taxes or selection budgets. Raising taxes exclusive entireness on the so-called "wealthy" (as NY did in April), otherwise there module be a revolt in this environment. The "wealthy" in states like NY hit sufficiency mobility to only move to other states, reaction set receipts to the land further. And modify if they don't, the effect of much set hikes is generally insufficient to move the needle. Tax hikes also damage businesses and reduce hiring.
That leaves spending cuts. But employees of some states hit momentous impact over land politics, including impact over governors and land legislators. Those politicians who revilement budgets - specially if they revilement land jobs - module only not wager added term. New York's metropolis for example knows he module not get reelected, so he has the guts to do the correct abstract and implement the cuts. The legislators however module fisticuffs him on this to the last minute. Other states module effect this surround soon as well, and more land IOUs (instead of cash) are trusty to follow.
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Senin, 30 November 2009
Ready for more state IOUs?
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